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Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Andy Beshear 88%Pete Buttigieg 81%Gavin Newsom 77%Ted Cruz 76%
88.0%80.5%76.5%75.5%
US$140.8K Vol
OutcomesChancesYesNo
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Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Statistics

Recent traders
41
Volume
US$140.8K
Liquidity
US$1.0M
Open interest
US$32.3K
Ends

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Activity

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  • Sold20 Marco Rubio Yes$7.40 (37.0¢)
  • Bought20 J.B. Pritzker No$8.00 (40.0¢)
  • Sold20 Steve Bannon No$13.40 (67.0¢)
  • Sold3.9 Hunter Biden Yes$1.01 (26.0¢)
  • Bought5 Jon Ossoff Yes$2.65 (53.0¢)
  • Bought19 Cory Booker Yes$10.83 (57.0¢)
  • Bought13 Marco Rubio No$7.93 (61.0¢)
  • Bought50.8 Ted Cruz Yes$38.61 (76.0¢)
  • Sold1,486.08 Ted Cruz Yes$1105.30 (74.4¢)
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