Beta · Trading uses test funds · No real money is involved yet

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

March 31, 2027 20%December 31, 2026 8%
19.5%7.5%
US$300.8K Vol
OutcomesChancesYesNo
20%
8%

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Statistics

Recent traders
85
Volume
US$300.8K
Liquidity
US$36.7K
Open interest
US$35.2K
Ends

People are also trading

Activity

  • Sold100 December 31, 2026 No$91.91 (91.9¢)
  • Sold20 December 31, 2026 No$18.40 (92.0¢)
  • Sold82 December 31, 2026 No$75.44 (92.0¢)
  • Sold10 December 31, 2026 No$9.20 (92.0¢)
  • Sold500.1 December 31, 2026 No$461.83 (92.3¢)
  • Sold6 March 31, 2027 Yes$1.08 (18.0¢)
  • Sold14 March 31, 2027 Yes$2.52 (18.0¢)
  • Bought14 March 31, 2027 No$11.62 (83.0¢)
  • Bought45.45 March 31, 2027 Yes$10.00 (22.0¢)
  • Bought71.43 December 31, 2026 Yes$5.00 (7.0¢)
Ask ORCA AI about this marketLive research with sources · 1 free question a day