US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
9 Outcomes$31.5M
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027 30%December 31 14%November 30 9%October 31 0%
29.5%14.5%9.0%0.3%
US$28.4M Vol
OutcomesChancesYesNo
30%
14%
9%
0%
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Statistics
- Recent traders
- 101
- Volume
- US$28.4M
- Liquidity
- US$258.8K
- Open interest
- US$1.3M
- Ends
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Activity
- Bought21.02 October 31 No$21.00 (99.9¢)
- Sold741.38 October 31 No$739.90 (99.8¢)
- Bought11.11 November 30 Yes$1.00 (9.0¢)
- Bought1,111.11 November 30 Yes$100.00 (9.0¢)
- Bought1,093 November 30 No$1005.56 (92.0¢)
- Bought55.06 October 31 No$55.00 (99.9¢)
- Bought1,000 October 31 No$998.98 (99.9¢)
- Sold81.53 December 31 Yes$11.41 (14.0¢)
- Sold653 November 30 Yes$52.24 (8.0¢)
- Bought1,387.03 December 31 No$1192.85 (86.0¢)