Which company has the best AI model end of October?
21 Outcomes$4.1M
Anthropic lab leak by...?
June 30, 2027 8%December 31, 2026 3%
7.5%2.6%
US$165.0K Vol
OutcomesChancesYesNo
8%
3%
Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Statistics
- Recent traders
- 96
- Volume
- US$165.0K
- Liquidity
- US$37.1K
- Open interest
- US$10.4K
- Ends
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Activity
- Bought1.02 December 31, 2026 No$1.00 (97.8¢)
- Bought416.21 June 30, 2027 Yes$29.13 (7.0¢)
- Sold1,886.22 December 31, 2026 No$1839.08 (97.5¢)
- Sold95 December 31, 2026 No$92.72 (97.6¢)
- Sold769.45 June 30, 2027 No$707.94 (92.0¢)
- Sold485 December 31, 2026 No$473.36 (97.6¢)
- Bought404.28 June 30, 2027 Yes$28.30 (7.0¢)
- Sold1.38 December 31, 2026 No$1.35 (97.6¢)
- Sold3,926.71 December 31, 2026 No$3854.21 (98.2¢)
- Sold75 December 31, 2026 No$73.65 (98.2¢)